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Preview — this feature is shipping May 2026. You can read the full methodology now.

Portfolio IntelligenceComing May 20266 min read

Constraint-Based Allocation — Guardrails That Prevent Concentration

The portfolio allocator enforces hard limits — BTC delta under 60%, counterparty under 30%, illiquid under 25%, portfolio convexity between 50 and 75 — and warns in real time as you approach them.

TL;DR

The portfolio allocator enforces hard limits — BTC delta under 60%, counterparty under 30%, illiquid under 25%, portfolio convexity between 50 and 75 — and warns in real time as you approach them.

Why This Exists

A portfolio builder without constraints produces concentrated portfolios. The most common failure is over-allocating to a single risk factor because individual positions looked reasonable in isolation.

How It Works

Four constraints on every allocation change:

1. BTC Delta: sum(weight x btc_delta) < 0.60

2. Counterparty: max(counterparty_weight) < 0.30

3. Illiquidity: sum(locked + t90) < 0.25

4. Convexity: 50 < portfolio_convexity < 75

Amber warning within 5% of limit. Red block when breached.

What You See in the Platform

Four constraint gauges at the top of the portfolio builder, updating in real time as you drag allocation sliders.

Screenshot will be added when the feature ships.

Where to Go Next

Read Second-Order Stress for cascade effects, or Hidden Correlation for the detection engine.

Next up

Second-Order Stress — What Happens After the First Shock

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